“The Flippening” is a loose term being used more and more in cryptocurrency discussions now-a-days. Bitcoin has remained the world’s largest cryptocurrency, both in valuation and in application, since its inception several years ago. To date, there has been no coin with the capacity to overtake Bitcoin. Many argue this has changed now that Ethereum has come along.
In the past four months, Bitcoin’s share of the industry market cap has dropped an astounding 48%, from 87% in February to 39% in June. On the flip side, Ethereum, which has been on the market for less than two years, has seen its share rise from barely 5% to 31% in 2017.
Why “The Flippening” maybe closer than it appears
Ether was hovering around ~$9 until March this year, after which is has seen some massive growth to just below $400 recently. That leap has not been matched by Bitcoin, which has risen to a much smaller amount in percentage points during the past six months. People have mixed opinions on the subject: some believe that the future of cryptocurrencies lies in altcoins, others belive that Bitcoin will rise and shine after SegWit, others feel that Bitcoin will simply fade away, only to be replaced by Ethereum and other coins.
Another factor to take into consideration is that Ether has proven itself to be more than just a cryptocurrency. Ethereum makes use of “smart contracts”, a framework that allows many applications to be built over it. That means that Ether is the perfect system for Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs), crowd funding, share trading etc. So, in broader terms, Ether is more useable and can be expected to have a greater transaction volume in the future.
Ethereum is known to have a much faster transaction time than Bitcoin. Unlike Bitcoin, which has a block size of 10 minutes, Ether’s block size aims to be ~12 seconds. This means that Ether confirmations are usually much quicker than bitcoin. The technology behind the quick block processing is Ethereum’s GHOST Protocol.
Reasons why Ethereum may never overtake Bitcoin
Strictly speaking, comparing Ethereum with Bitcoin is like comparing apples with oranges. They were never actually meant to be competitors. Bitcoin was designed as currency – which is why nodes verify Bitcoin address. Ethereum on the other hand uses Ether as ‘tokens’ (mind you, I’m not using the word currency here) for its smart contract platform. The founders of Ethereum themselves propagate the idea that Ether should not be used as a currency, but the hype has made everyone consider Ether a cryptocurrency.
Another point that must be noted is that Bitcoin is inherently scarce: there is a cap to how many Bitcoins can be produced. Only 21 million Bitcoins are ever going to be mined, making the currency deflationary in nature. Ether is an inflationary currency as 18 million Ether can be mined every year, making it a currency of increasing supply. In theory, Ether’s price will fall over the long term, while Bitcoin will continue to grow due to the reduction in supply. Additionally, the number of Ether in circulation is already around 6 times that of Bitcoin (~ 92 million ETH to ~ 16 million BTC).
“Bitcoin is better money, deflationary & scarce. Ether is not really money, inflationary & abundant. The flippening makes no sense.” – Vinny Lingham, Gyft co-founder
For the Flippening to take place, the ETH/BTC pair needs to reach 0.177. It is immaterial what the price of either of these currencies is, but once this value is reached, the market cap of Ethereum will overtake that of Bitcoin. It is at that point that Ethereum will officially be the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap.
Is the Flippening going to happen? This is a much-speculated topic that has recently caught everyone’s attention. The answer is that we don’t know. If Ethereum makes further gains then it is only a matter of time before Ethereum dominates the market. However, it must be known that the creators and maintainers of Ethereum have no intention to forcibly cause the Flippening, as according to them, “Bitcoin and Ethereum are completely different technologies which cannot be compared”. The market is surely anxious about such an event as it has never taken place before. Some people are optimistic that the rise of altcoins will mean more variety in the future, with no currency dominating more than 20% of the market. Some are afraid that August 1st will be the day when Bitcoin’s supremacy will fall for Ethereum. Whatever the outcome is, one thing is for sure: the cryptocurrency world has never experienced more uncertainty about the future than this before.
2 thoughts on “Reasons why Ethereum might be the new Bitcoin”
I personally think that ETH will be dealt several crashing blows. It is being used to create a multitude of very bad ICOs. Most cannot be mined and have weak use cases. The troubling thing is several have managed to raise staggering amounts of money for a use case that would struggle to raise 10k on kickstarter. Once these start being exposed as the ‘get rich quick’ schemes they really are it’ll be ETH that takes the blame.
A much more compelling case can be made for ZCash, who’s price has risen higher than ETH and has so far been relatively immune from the crash days. ZCash makes no bones about being a cryptocurrency, it doesnt try to hide behind a weak use case. Monero is another that could keep growing, Monero also has an infinite supply. However, I don’t think the perfect coin has been released yet. We are in the early days of crypto and if you want to compare it to the internet, we are still at the askarchie stage (archie was the first internet search engine). Soon the new Google of crypto will arrive and we will all kiss our fiat currency goodbye.
The internet is set to change drastically. As quickly as gvts attempt to stifle its use with draconian laws, coders are busily designing a totally new internet where security is paramount and crypto will be the backbone of this new space. Go and read the use case of MaidSafe where they are designing an entire p2p network that could replace the internet. There will be no space on these new networks for today’s giants. Facebook, Google, Amazon, Ebay etc all belong to yesterday and will die a very sudden death. Just like every new invention first a few adopt it, then a few more and then absolutely without warning everyone adopts it. Shortly thereafter people will refuse to work for fiat currencies because they represent debt and are only produced via debt. Crypto is not debt based and reflects an entirely different world view that currently only a ten year old can grasp.
Good points and agree totally with them, but one thing – if Google et al were to ‘die a sudden death’, what would we be using to replace these services? I can’t see Google going away any time soon.